50% AGI by 2028
4:13–4:31 · 18s
Daniel Kokotajlo updates his forecast, giving a 50% chance that AI capable of full self-directed R&D arrives by late 2028, surprising the hosts with the short timeline.
4:13–4:31 · 18s
Daniel Kokotajlo updates his forecast, giving a 50% chance that AI capable of full self-directed R&D arrives by late 2028, surprising the hosts with the short timeline.
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