URGENT UPDATE - Iran War Expert: 70% Chance US Sends Troops To Iran THIS WEEK! | Robert Pape
7/23/20261 hr 41 min
The War everyone assumed was over may be about to become something far worse than we could have expected. Professor Robert Pape explains exactly why the deadliest phase of this war is still ahead, and how this could trigger a wave of terror across the world.
Robert Pape is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. A renowned political scientist, he has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of the upcoming book “Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism”.
He explains:
■ Why the US bombing campaign failed to topple Iran’s regime, even after killing its top leaders
■ How Iran seized control of 20% of the world’s oil supply within days of the war starting
■ Why the failed agreement handed Iran a path to becoming the most powerful country in the region
■ Why both China and Russia gain from America staying stuck in the Middle East
■ Why he thinks US ground troops could be next
■ Why he thinks there will be a clash between Congress and the president over who really controls the power to go to war
Chapters
- 00:00:00 Intro
- 00:02:22 Why Robert Pape Isn't Surprised
- 00:04:04 Why the US Blocked the Strait of Hormuz
- 00:05:23 The Secret JD Vance Peace Deal (MOU)
- 00:08:13 Iran as Regional Hegemon, Explained
- 00:09:40 How Do We Know This Is the Real Document?
- 00:21:05 Did the War Actually Make Iran Stronger?
- 00:22:06 The Viral Tweet: How Is Iran Still Hitting US Bases?
- 00:24:37 Trump Says Iran Is Destroyed — So How?
- 00:25:39 Where Iran Hides Its Drones ("A Truck in California")
- 00:29:04 Iran Is Building New Drones the Whole Time
- 00:32:17 Are We on the Verge of a Global Economic Crisis?
- 00:36:27 What "Owning the L" Would Actually Look Like
- 00:38:37 Trump: The US Runs Out of Oil in 4 Weeks
- 00:40:32 The Midterm Elections Time Bomb
- 00:52:13 The Vietnam Parallel: LBJ's Trap
- 00:55:06 Can the US Force the Strait of Hormuz Open?
- 01:03:07 A 70% Chance of Boots on the Ground in Iran
- 01:14:39 Why Invading (Not Bombing) Sparks Suicide Attacks
- 01:24:05 When the Two Crises Collide: A New 1960s?
- 01:25:01 Will Trump Lose the Midterms?
- 01:26:40 Is the US Running Out of Weapons?
- 01:28:40 What Is Trump's Real Objective?
- 01:34:19 Pape's Prediction for the Next Few Months
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You can pre-order Robert's new book, ‘Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism’ here:https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/9XIQBJ9
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Clips
Transcript preview
First 90 secondsSteven Bartlett· Host0:00
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Robert Pape· Guest0:59
Iran is stronger today than it was before the war started, and this is literally the nightmare scenario that we've been worrying about. And the reason you're having me here is because in the next few months, the world economic crisis is going to grow.
Steven Bartlett· Host1:14
And it does appear that you've been largely correct about what you said would happen.
Robert Pape· Guest1:18
It's because I've been modeling the bombing of Iran for twenty years, and I've advised every White House from two thousand and one to two thousand and twenty-four on different issues related to conflict.

