Trump says he’ll HIT IRAN HARD TONIGHT after ceasefire collapses
7/8/202634 min
Donald Trump says the ceasefire is over. After fresh US strikes on Iran and retaliatory attacks on American military bases in the Gulf, hopes that the conflict was winding down have been thrown into doubt.
Trump has declared he no longer wants to negotiate with Tehran, raising fears that the Middle East could be entering a dangerous new phase.
So what do these latest attacks tell us? Is diplomacy finished? Could Israel escalate its military campaign? And what does renewed instability mean for shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and the wider global economy?
On this episode of the Fourcast Indicators Krishnan Guru-Murthy is joined by defence and intelligence analyst Mark Urban and also speaks to Hossein Kanani Moghaddam, founder of the Green Party of Iran and a former senior IRGC commander, to discuss Iran's response, the future of the regime, and whether there is any route back to diplomacy.
Clips
Transcript preview
First 90 secondsKrishnan Guru-Murthy· Host0:00
The Americans repeatedly said that one of their key war aims was to remove Iran's ballistic missile capability. They've still got them. They can still use them.
Mark Urban· Host0:10
They'd underestimated Iran, they'd underestimated the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. But so far, the Iranians have done this better.
Krishnan Guru-Murthy· Host0:18
It now seems to be part of the negotiating process that you have a diplomatic agreement, you accept that there will be violations. It's as if bad faith has now become part of diplomacy. Hello, and welcome to The Forecast Indicators. I'm Christian Giri Murphy.
Mark Urban· Host0:36
And I'm Mark Urban, and this is the podcast where we look at the signals that analysts watch out for most closely, the telltale signs that suggest an imminent and significant change may be about to happen.
Krishnan Guru-Murthy· Host0:48
Today, Donald Trump says the ceasefire with Iran is over, and that he doesn't want to deal with them anymore, calling its leaders scum after the US launched fresh strikes with Tehran responding with attacks on American military sites in the Gulf, specifically Bahrain and Kuwait.
Mark Urban· Host1:06
Add to that, the US president saying he plans to hit Iran hard tonight. So what does this latest escalation tell us? Is diplomacy finished, or is this another turn in a conflict that's becoming increasingly hard to read?
Krishnan Guru-Murthy· Host1:20
Now later, I'll be joined by Hossein Kanani Moghadam, leader and founder of the Green Party of Iran, which sounds very gentle, but in fact, he is one of the