The Danger of Keeping Score
4/1/202622 min
Last Friday, the Washington state Attorney General sued Kalshi, the prediction market platform where users can place bets on real world events, such as the number of deportations this year or the winner of Survivor 50. Washington’s civil lawsuit is now one of twenty waged against Kalshi, and follows on the heels of Arizona’s Attorney General filing criminal charges against the platform earlier this month. Prediction markets generated almost $64 billion in trading volume last year, up 400% from 2024. And when the US and Israel initiated strikes on Iran in early February, Kalshi users took to the platform in droves, spending $54 million on “Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?” during the first week of the war.
Prediction markets are just an intensification of a process that’s been slowly transforming our relationship to our bodies, our careers, our hobbies, our lives – everything is now saturated with numbers, and we can’t stop counting them and tracking them and comparing them. But what do we lose out on when we become obsessed with numbers or lines moving up or down on a graph, when we turn aspects of real life into games? Philosopher C. Thi Nguyen turned to actual games, like Twister and The Mind, to root out the answer in his latest book, The Score: How to Stop Playing Somebody Else's Game. For the midweek pod, host Micah Loewinger speaks to him about the dangers of scoring systems and metrics in the context of real life, why those same scoring systems are so freeing in games, and what the philosophy of games can reveal about the meaning of life.
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First 90 secondsMicah Loewinger· Host0:00
On the Media is supported by Viking, committed to exploring the world in comfort, offering destination-focused small ship experiences on all seven continents, with a shore excursion included in every port and programs designed for cultural enrichment. And every Viking voyage is all-inclusive, with no children and no casinos. Learn more at viking.com. Hey, you're listening to On the Media's midweek podcast. I'm Micah Lowinger. [gentle music] Last Friday, Washington State Attorney General Nick Brown sued Kalshi, the so-called prediction market platform where users can place bets on real-world events, such as the number of deportations this year, or the winner of Survivor 50, or football.
Nick Brown· Soundbite0:46
In calling themselves a prediction market, they are misleading Washingtonians, because their advertisements talk about a way to bet on the NFL even though we live in Washington. They publicly pat themselves on the back for being sneaky and getting around Washington's gambling laws. But it's worse than being sneaky. It's a lie, and it's illegal.
Micah Loewinger· Host1:06
Washington's civil lawsuit is now one of 20 waged against Kalshi, and follows on the heels of Arizona Attorney General Chris Mayes filing criminal charges against the company earlier this month. Prediction markets generated almost $64 billion in trading volume last year, hooking not only Kalshi's reportedly five million active users, but also media companies