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More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts

7/11/20261 hr 42 min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg!

(2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence

(27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly

(54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China?

(1:03:09) Trump Accounts launch, getting young Americans bought back into capitalism

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

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Referenced in the show:

https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027

https://x.com/thejessezhang/status/2074154325933424861

https://x.com/praveenTweets/status/2074605343439810922

https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074802778074124434

https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074814752174522857

https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2070670644577280109

https://x.com/andyfang/status/2074252174226493584

https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074630732019036574

https://x.com/finkd/status/2075218444056707458

https://x.com/alighodsi/status/2074996561306955958

https://blog.nicolasmeridjen.com/en/blog/2026-04-03-alibaba-qwen-closed-source-end-of-open-weight

https://www.chinatalk.media/p/chinas-ai-companies-are-going-closed

https://www.reuters.com/world/beijing-is-looking-curbing-overseas-access-chinas-top-ai-models-sources-say-2026-07-07

https://x.com/KurtSupeCPA/thread/2074817292550984010

Clips

Transcript preview

First 90 seconds
  1. Jason Calacanis· Host0:00

    All right, everybody. Welcome back. Number one podcast in the world. It's July, All-In, episode 280. Freiberg is on a little vacay. We'll leave it at that. And, uh, yeah, Bestie Brad is here. How you doing, Brad?

  2. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:16

    I'm doing great. I'm do- uh, vacay in, uh, maybe Idaho or somewhere, JK?

  3. Jason Calacanis· Host0:21

    I- You know? Who knows? I- Who knows?

  4. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:22

    Who knows?

  5. Jason Calacanis· Host0:23

    Who know? It could be anywhere. It could be anywhere. I mean, there's lots of things. He could be in plenty of places. And, uh, looks like you are, yeah, somewhere in the Northeast. I'll leave it at that. You having a little, uh, vacay for yourself this week?

  6. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:34

    Very pat- I'm in my flag room. Very patriotic room here.

  7. Jason Calacanis· Host0:38

    Very nice.

  8. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:38

    You know, where I work on the East Coast in the summertime.

  9. Jason Calacanis· Host0:41

    Yes, yes.

  10. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:42

    And, uh, spent some time in DC this week.

  11. Jason Calacanis· Host0:44

    Mm, mm.

  12. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:45

    And, uh, it's been a great week. Been a great week- All right.

  13. Jason Calacanis· Host0:47

    So you're- ...

  14. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:47

    celebrating America 250.

  15. Jason Calacanis· Host0:48

    Great. And you're gonna be out of there for the, by the, by the second week of August, yeah? So I have it August 10th through the 30th. I'm good?

  16. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:55

    [laughs] Exactly, exactly.

  17. Jason Calacanis· Host0:56

    Okay, great.

  18. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:56

    Just checking. [laughs] [laughs] Jason B&B.

  19. Jason Calacanis· Host0:58

    I just wanna make sure.

  20. Brad Gerstner· Guest0:59

    Jason B&B.

  21. Jason Calacanis· Host1:00

    Oh, absolutely.

  22. Brad Gerstner· Guest1:01

    [laughs] JK.

  23. Jason Calacanis· Host1:02

    You, you don't know the half of it, man. I am on a summer bender. I'm like, "Oh, where's your s- where's your vacation home?"

  24. Brad Gerstner· Guest1:07

    By the way, where are you? Where are you right now?

  25. Jason Calacanis· Host1:09

    I am in Paris. I did, uh, about eight interviews for, uh, at the Raise Conference. They'll be coming out, uh, in the All-In feed. And of course, cackling from the factory. Look at him. You're working in the factory. Chamath Palihapitiya. It's gonna be a hot software summer for Chamath. How's your hot software summer going?

  26. Chamath Palihapitiya· Host1:28

    It's good.

  27. Jason Calacanis· Host1:28

    Yeah?

  28. Chamath Palihapitiya· Host1:29

    Selling enterprise

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