More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts
7/11/20261 hr 42 min
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg!
(2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence
(27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly
(54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China?
(1:03:09) Trump Accounts launch, getting young Americans bought back into capitalism
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Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027
https://x.com/thejessezhang/status/2074154325933424861
https://x.com/praveenTweets/status/2074605343439810922
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074802778074124434
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074814752174522857
https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2070670644577280109
https://x.com/andyfang/status/2074252174226493584
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074630732019036574
https://x.com/finkd/status/2075218444056707458
https://x.com/alighodsi/status/2074996561306955958
https://blog.nicolasmeridjen.com/en/blog/2026-04-03-alibaba-qwen-closed-source-end-of-open-weight
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/chinas-ai-companies-are-going-closed
Clips
Transcript preview
First 90 secondsJason Calacanis· Host0:00
All right, everybody. Welcome back. Number one podcast in the world. It's July, All-In, episode 280. Freiberg is on a little vacay. We'll leave it at that. And, uh, yeah, Bestie Brad is here. How you doing, Brad?
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:16
I'm doing great. I'm do- uh, vacay in, uh, maybe Idaho or somewhere, JK?
Jason Calacanis· Host0:21
I- You know? Who knows? I- Who knows?
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:22
Who knows?
Jason Calacanis· Host0:23
Who know? It could be anywhere. It could be anywhere. I mean, there's lots of things. He could be in plenty of places. And, uh, looks like you are, yeah, somewhere in the Northeast. I'll leave it at that. You having a little, uh, vacay for yourself this week?
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:34
Very pat- I'm in my flag room. Very patriotic room here.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:38
Very nice.
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:38
You know, where I work on the East Coast in the summertime.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:41
Yes, yes.
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:42
And, uh, spent some time in DC this week.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:44
Mm, mm.
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:45
And, uh, it's been a great week. Been a great week- All right.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:47
So you're- ...
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:47
celebrating America 250.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:48
Great. And you're gonna be out of there for the, by the, by the second week of August, yeah? So I have it August 10th through the 30th. I'm good?
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:55
[laughs] Exactly, exactly.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:56
Okay, great.
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:56
Just checking. [laughs] [laughs] Jason B&B.
Jason Calacanis· Host0:58
I just wanna make sure.
Brad Gerstner· Guest0:59
Jason B&B.
Jason Calacanis· Host1:00
Oh, absolutely.
Brad Gerstner· Guest1:01
[laughs] JK.
Jason Calacanis· Host1:02
You, you don't know the half of it, man. I am on a summer bender. I'm like, "Oh, where's your s- where's your vacation home?"
Brad Gerstner· Guest1:07
By the way, where are you? Where are you right now?
Jason Calacanis· Host1:09
I am in Paris. I did, uh, about eight interviews for, uh, at the Raise Conference. They'll be coming out, uh, in the All-In feed. And of course, cackling from the factory. Look at him. You're working in the factory. Chamath Palihapitiya. It's gonna be a hot software summer for Chamath. How's your hot software summer going?
Chamath Palihapitiya· Host1:28
It's good.
Jason Calacanis· Host1:28
Yeah?
Chamath Palihapitiya· Host1:29
Selling enterprise

