Superforecasters vs. experts
8:52–10:03 · 71s
Ben recounts DARPA-backed research showing amateurs can beat pundits at predicting geopolitical events and how those skills got monetized in markets.
8:52–10:03 · 71s
Ben recounts DARPA-backed research showing amateurs can beat pundits at predicting geopolitical events and how those skills got monetized in markets.
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