Back to Back Barries: Does One Nation have a ceiling or a wall?
6/5/202633 min
Barrie Cassidy and Tony Barry break down the new Redbridge polling that shows One Nation with the highest primary vote in the country, a result unprecedented in Australian politics. They also discuss Peter Garrett’s appointment to head a new public inquiry into Aukus and whether Anthony Albanese has enough political capital to afford it
Clips
Transcript preview
First 90 secondsBarrie Cassidy· Host0:00
[upbeat electronic music] This is The Guardian. [upbeat electronic music] I'm Barry Cassidy.
Tony Barry· Host0:10
And I'm Tony Barry.
Barrie Cassidy· Host0:11
Welcome to Back to Back Barrys, a podcast from Guardian Australia. Well, support for One Nation continues to grow exponentially. We can only guess as to whether there is a ceiling and when that might be reached, but now for the first time, polls, two of them, including Redbridge, are showing them with a higher primary vote than the governing Labour Party. So here's the timeline, because I think occasionally it's worth going back and having a look at it. One Nation got 6.4% at the last federal election, just over a year ago, 6.4%. By October, five months after that, they were getting 12%. They were challenging the Greens as the third force, and for the first time, they were polling strongly enough to get seats in the House of Representatives. But then they really started to consolidate December last year, January this year, when they were getting numbers like 22% primary vote, which meant they'd overtaken the Coalition on the primary vote, but still not by enough to win more seats in the Coalition. That happened two months ago, late April, early May, and by then they'd built such a strong level of support that they certainly had the numbers to be the official opposition. And now in the last two or three weeks, we see polls that show them out-polling Labor on the primary vote. So their position continues to build. It's feeding on itself.